The self-help industry has spent decades telling us to visualize success. Picture yourself crossing the finish line, landing the promotion, achieving the body you want. Feel the emotions of accomplishment before you've done the work. This advice feels intuitively right—and that's precisely why it persists despite mounting evidence that it often backfires.
Gabriele Oettingen, a psychology professor at NYU, has dedicated her career to studying why positive fantasies frequently decrease the likelihood of achieving goals. Her research reveals an uncomfortable truth: the mental satisfaction we derive from imagining success can drain the very energy we need to pursue it. The brain sometimes struggles to distinguish between vividly imagined achievements and real ones.
But Oettingen didn't stop at debunking positive thinking. She developed an evidence-based alternative called mental contrasting—a technique that harnesses the motivational power of envisioning outcomes while building in the realistic planning that fantasy alone neglects. For performance professionals, this isn't just academic curiosity. It's a trainable protocol that measurably improves goal achievement across domains.
The Paradox of Positive Fantasy
In a series of studies beginning in the 1990s, Oettingen and her colleagues discovered something counterintuitive: people who engaged in purely positive fantasies about desired futures showed lower energy levels, reduced effort, and worse outcomes than those who approached goals differently. In one study, participants who fantasized about a relaxing vacation felt less energized afterward than those who didn't. Their systolic blood pressure dropped—a physiological marker of reduced mobilization for action.
The mechanism appears to be what researchers call premature consummation. When you vividly imagine achieving a goal, your brain rewards you with some of the emotional payoff before you've earned it. You experience a taste of success that partially satisfies the underlying need, reducing the motivational tension that drives goal pursuit. It's like eating bread before your meal arrives—the edge comes off your hunger.
This doesn't mean positive thinking is useless. Oettingen's research distinguishes between positive expectations—realistic assessments that you can achieve something—and positive fantasies—free indulgence in imagining desired outcomes. High expectations correlate with better performance. But expectations are judgments about probability, while fantasies are experiential simulations. The latter feel good precisely because they're divorced from reality's constraints.
For coaches and performance specialists, this research demands a recalibration. Athletes who spend extensive time visualizing victory without equal attention to the challenges ahead may be undermining their own preparation. The standard advice to 'see yourself succeeding' requires a critical addendum—or better yet, a complete restructuring of how we teach visualization.
TakeawayPositive fantasies provide emotional satisfaction without requiring action, which can reduce the motivational energy needed for actual goal pursuit. Distinguish between realistic expectations (helpful) and free-floating fantasies (potentially demotivating).
Why Obstacles Strengthen Commitment
Mental contrasting adds a crucial second step to visualization: after imagining the desired outcome, you deliberately call to mind the internal obstacles that stand in your way. Not external barriers like lack of resources or other people's behavior, but your own habits, fears, assumptions, and tendencies that could derail you. This shift in focus changes everything about how the brain processes the goal.
When you hold both the desired future and the inner obstacle in mind sequentially, you create what Oettingen calls a strong associative link between them. The reality of the obstacle becomes connected to the desirability of the outcome. This mental connection triggers what psychologists call necessity cognition—the recognition that overcoming the obstacle is essential for reaching the goal. Motivation increases rather than dissipates.
The research shows this only works when you genuinely believe the goal is achievable. If expectations are low, mental contrasting leads people to appropriately disengage from unrealistic goals rather than waste resources pursuing them. This is actually a feature, not a bug. The technique helps calibrate commitment to feasibility, directing energy toward goals worth pursuing while freeing it from goals that aren't.
In practical terms, mental contrasting transforms vague intentions into actionable commitments. A study with healthcare professionals found that those who used mental contrasting significantly outperformed control groups in integrating new practices into their work. The technique seems to bridge the intention-action gap that plagues behavior change—that frustrating space where we know what we want but consistently fail to do what's required to get it.
TakeawayAfter visualizing your desired outcome, immediately shift focus to the internal obstacles most likely to impede you. This pairing creates associative links that transform dreamy aspiration into energized, realistic commitment.
The WOOP Protocol in Practice
Oettingen codified her research into a systematic protocol called WOOP: Wish, Outcome, Obstacle, Plan. The structured format makes mental contrasting teachable and repeatable. Start by identifying a meaningful wish—something challenging but achievable within a defined timeframe. Be specific. 'Get healthier' is too vague; 'run three times per week for the next month' gives you something concrete to work with.
Next, imagine the best outcome of achieving this wish. What would it feel like? What would change? Let yourself experience the positive emotions—this isn't the problem with positive visualization. The premature satisfaction comes from stopping here. Then identify your main inner obstacle. What is it in you that might prevent you from achieving this? Your tendency to rationalize skipping workouts? Your habit of prioritizing urgent over important tasks? Name it specifically.
Finally, create an if-then plan that links the obstacle to a response. 'If I feel tempted to skip my run because I'm tired, then I will put on my running shoes and commit to just five minutes.' This implementation intention, as Peter Gollwitzer's research calls it, pre-loads a behavioral response that can activate automatically when the obstacle arises. You're not relying on willpower in the moment; you've already decided what you'll do.
Studies across diverse populations—students, healthcare workers, chronic pain patients, dieters—consistently show that WOOP outperforms positive visualization alone, goal intention without planning, and information-only interventions. The protocol takes about five minutes and can be applied to daily goals, weekly targets, or longer-term aspirations. Its simplicity is its power: four steps that leverage decades of research into a practical routine.
TakeawayApply WOOP daily: name a specific Wish, vividly imagine the best Outcome, identify your main inner Obstacle, and create an if-then Plan linking the obstacle to your response. Five minutes of structured contrasting beats hours of unfocused positive thinking.
Mental contrasting doesn't ask you to abandon optimism or become a pessimist about your goals. It asks you to hold two truths simultaneously: the future you want is worth pursuing, and real obstacles stand between you and that future. This integration is what positive fantasy alone cannot provide.
The research base behind WOOP is unusually robust for a psychological intervention. Randomized controlled trials across cultures, age groups, and goal domains consistently demonstrate its effectiveness. For performance professionals seeking evidence-based tools, it deserves a place alongside other well-validated techniques.
Perhaps the most important insight is that motivation isn't just about wanting something intensely. It's about accurately connecting desire to the reality of what achievement requires. Mental contrasting builds that bridge—not by dampening dreams, but by making them actionable.